基于灰色关联的我国金融风险评价体系研究  

The Financial Risk Assessment Systems research based on Grey Relational analysis

作　　者：吕娟[1] 范恒冬[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽大学商学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《贵州商业高等专科学校学报》2011年第4期22-27,共6页Journal of Guizhou Commercial College

基　　金：安徽省人文社科重点项目"开放条件下我国金融风险预警机制的理论与实证研究"(项目编号:2010sk076zd)成果之一

摘　　要：文章结合我国经济运行的实际情况,构建了一个完整的金融风险评价体系,并对2008年危机前后我国金融风险状况进行实证检验。结果表明,危机前我国金融体系综合评价偏离最优参考数列严重,而2010年关联程度最大。依据检验结果提出了抑制通胀、积极协调人民币升值幅度等政策性建议。Based on the existing research and combining with the China economic realities,this paper divide Financial Risk into Macroeconomic run risk,and evaluate the Financial Risk around the 2008 World Economic Crisis.The results indicate that the safety of financial system stray away from a comprehensive evaluation reference seriously before the crisis and 2010 had a high associated degree.Based on the test results,advice can be given.Such as： to curb inflation.

关 键 词：金融风险 指标体系 AHP法 灰色关联 

分 类 号：F831.59[经济管理—金融学]