旅游业与山区农民收入的协整分析——以井冈山为例  

Co-integration Analysis on Tourism and the Income of Mountain Farmers

作　　者：江民锦[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学旅游与城市管理学院,江西南昌330032

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2011年第36期22463-22465,22472,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：江西高校人文社科项目(GL0908)

摘　　要：根据Granger因果检验方法和协整理论,利用井冈山区49个农户2000～2009年的收入调查数据以及相关统计数据,对旅游业与山区农民收入的影响进行了实证分析。结果表明,井冈山区旅游业与山区农民收入之间存在单向的Granger因果关系,旅游业与山区农民收入之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,对山区农民收入有显著的促进作用。因此,发展山区旅游业有利于农民收入的增长,提升了农民的生活质量。According to Granger causality test and co-integration theory, by using income investigation data and related statistics of 49 farmers in Jinggangshan during 2000 - 2009, effects of tourism on farmers＇ income in mountainous area were analyzed. The results showed that there is one-way Granger causality between Jinggangshan tourism and farmers＇ income, the tourism has significant promoting effects on farmers＇ income. Therefore, developing tourism is beneficial to increase farmers＇ income, improve their life quality.

关 键 词：协整理论 农民收入 旅游业 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]