中国内地与香港贸易流量的关键影响因素——基于16个省份面板数据的实证分析  

On the Critical Variant in the Trade Flows between China's Mainland and HK

作　　者：刘建党[1] 杨贞[2] 

机构地区：[1]综合开发研究院(中国.深圳),广东深圳518029 [2]中国人民银行珠海市中心支行,广东珠海519000

出　　处：《开放导报》2012年第1期68-71,共4页China Opening Journal

摘　　要：2004年以来,中国内地与香港的贸易流量主要受GDP和人均GDP的影响,《泛珠三角区域合作框架协议》对双边贸易的影响并不显著,内地与香港的产业内贸易特征明显。未来,内地应该加快发展区域经济,努力增加居民收入,不断完善基础设施,加快建设统一市场,深化产业内专业化分工,优化区域治理结构,从而提升内地与香港的经贸关系。Since 2004, the trade flow between China's Mainland and Hong Kong is mainly affected by GDP and average per capital GDP, Pan Pearl River Delta regional cooperation framework agreement doesn＇ t have an obvious effect on trade flow, Hong Kong is developing intra-industry trade with the provinces in China's Mainland. In the future, the mainland should accelerate the development of regional economy, try to increase the income of inhabitants, continuously improve infrastructure, speed up the building of united market, gradually deepen intra-industry division of labour based on specialization, optimize regional governance structure, improve economy relationship between China's Mainland and Hong Kong.

关 键 词：中国内地 中国香港 贸易流量 引力模型 面板数据 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F727