我国高新技术产品出口与FDI的动态关系分析  

Analysis of Dynamic Relationship between the Export of High-tech Products and FDI in China

作　　者：张瑛[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2012年第1期71-74,共4页Contemporary Economic Management

基　　金：陕西省科技厅"软科学"项目(2011KRM58)部分成果

摘　　要：运用2002年～2011年的月度时间序列数据,应用单位根检验、格兰杰因果检验、误差修正模型和脉冲响应函数、方差分解等技术分析我国高新技术产品出口与FDI之间的动态关系。实证分析结果表明,我国高新技术产品出口与FDI之间存在长期均衡关系;FDI是高新技术产品出口的格兰杰原因;但是我国高新技术产品出口变动与FDI变动之间的互相影响都很小。说明我国高新技术产品出口本身不具有比较优势,国际竞争力不强,应该增加外资流入到我国高新技术行业,从而带动我国高新技术产品出口的发展。In this paper,the monthly time series data from 2002 to 2011 is used.Unit root test,Granger causality test,Error correction model and Impulse response function,Variance decomposition and other technique analysis were applied to analyze the dynamic relationship between the export of High-tech products and FDI in China.According to the empirical analysis,there was a long-term equilibrium relationship between the export of High-tech products and FDI in China;FDI was the Granger cause of export of High-tech products;but the interaction between the export changes of High-tech products and FDI was very small.This paper stated that the export of High-techs in China had no comparative advantages,and the international competitiveness was not strong,thus we should increase the inflow of foreign capital to High-tech industries in China,promoting the development of the export of High-tech products.

关 键 词：高新技术产品出口 FDI 动态关系 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]