台湾开放大陆赴台旅游的经济影响度研究  

On the Economic Effect Degree of Opening the Mainland Residents to Taiwan Tourism

作　　者：刘佳[1] 龚唯平[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学特区港澳经济研究所,广州510632

出　　处：《商业研究》2012年第2期177-182,共6页Commercial Research

摘　　要：2008年7月,台湾开放大陆13省居民赴台旅游,以期由旅游业带动台湾的低迷经济走出低谷。基于旅游乘数模型和旅游人数模型,本文以2008年前后台湾旅游业分析为背景,定量研究开放大陆居民赴台旅游对台湾经济的贡献度,及影响大陆居民赴台旅游需求的影响因素,认为开放大陆赴台旅游对台湾经济发展具有很强的拉动作用,两岸政策的开放性对赴台旅游人数影响巨大。Taiwan declared that the mainland residents would travel Taiwan on July 2008,expecting the tourism industry to strengthen the gloomy economy.Based on the analysis of Taiwan tourism before and after 2008,the paper uses tourism multiplier model and tourist arrivals model to do the quantitative study on how opening the mainland residents to Taiwan tourism contributes to the economy,and what affects the demand of this tourism.The conclusion is that the economic impact of opening the mainland residents to Taiwan tourism is huge,and cross-strait policy plays a substantial role in the demand.

关 键 词：经济影响度 旅游乘数 人数模型 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]