中国区域经济协调发展实证研究  

A Pragmatic Study on Balanced Development of China's Regional Economy

作　　者：韩兆洲[1,2] 安康[3] 桂文林[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院统计学系 [2]暨南大学教育学院 [3]中国人民银行广州分行

出　　处：《统计研究》2012年第1期38-42,共5页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“构建中国特色区域协调互动发展机制研究”(07AJL009);国家社会科学基金项目“新型工业化指标体系及测度方法研究”(10BJY050)阶段性成果

摘　　要：区域经济的协调发展不仅是我国一项长期重要国策,也是社会经济研究的热点问题。本文将空间计量模型与面板分析方法相结合,以我国省域经济发展作为研究对象,对我国省域经济增长的协调发展和所受影响因素进行研究。结果显示,我国区域经济发展存在着显著的空间相关性,在经济发展的不同阶段影响经济增长的因素不同,对经济发展有持续显著正影响的因素有:人力资本、人口资本、市场化进程和财政支出等。据此本文提出若干政策建议,以促进我国经济协调增长。Because the economic development in China suffers from the problem of incoordination among different regions, the coordinated development of regional economies is not only an important long-term national policy, but also a hot issue in the research field. This paper combines the spatial eeonometric model with panel model as its analytical method, regards the provincial-level economic growth as its research target and data source, and analyzes the coordinated development of provincial-level economy and the factors that have effect on regional economic growth. The result shows there is remarkable spatial interaction between the regional economies, and the factors that have effect on economy are different in different stages of the economic growth, and some of the faetors that have constant remarkable positive effeet on the economic growth include human resource, population, the marketization process and financial spending. At last, this paper makes some effective suggestions on the basis of this study.

关 键 词：区域经济 空间计量模型 面板模型 经济增长 

分 类 号：F222.1[经济管理—国民经济]