基于IO-SDA模型的浙江省外贸隐含碳影响因素分析  

Analysis of Influential Factors of Embodied Carbon in Zhejiang's Foreign Trade Based on IO-SDA Model

作　　者：隗斌贤[1,2] 顾继红 黄敏[4] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学工商管理学院 [2]浙江省科学技术协会 [3]浙江省科技信息中心 [4]浙江农林大学

出　　处：《统计研究》2012年第1期101-105,共5页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“基于EPE分析的提高低碳能源价格市场竞争力的政策选择研究”(70973113)资助;中国科协重大软科学项目“区域碳排放核算方法和低碳发展评价研究”(ZGKX1100016)资助;浙江省科协重点软科学项目“低碳约束下浙江外贸发展若干战略问题研究”(kx10A-01-②)资助

摘　　要：本文对浙江省2002—2009年外贸过程中的含碳量进行了测量,并分解其变化的影响因素。研究表明:在此期间进出口内涵碳都有较大幅度的增加,CO2贸易条件整体尚佳但趋势不容乐观;贸易规模效应在所有影响因素中起着决定性作用,这也是2009年排放量出现下降的原因;能源效率的改善在一定程度上抑制了贸易含碳量的增加;出口结构效应与进口结构效应存在较大不同;而中间投入效应与单位能源碳排放效应的影响值都非常小。This paper measures the Carbon content produced in the process of foreign trade from 2002 to 2009 in Zhejiang, and analyzes the influential factors of its change. The study shows that during this period the carbon content both in imports and exports has increased greatly. The trade condition of carbon dioxide is good on the whole, but the trend is not optimistic. Scale effect plays a decisive role among all the factors. This is also the reason why the emission deelined in 2009. To some extent, the improvement of energy efficiency has inhibited the increase of Carbon content in trade. There is a big difference between export structure effect and import structure effect. However, the influential value of intermediate inputs effect and carbon emissions per unit of energy are quite small.

关 键 词：对外贸易 隐涵碳 影响因素 

分 类 号：F222[经济管理—国民经济]