基于农户数据的河南中东部地区气象因子对冬小麦产量的影响分析  

Impact of Meteorological Factors on Winter Wheat Yield in Middle and East Henan Province Based on Household Data

作　　者：范磊[1] 胡海燕[1] 王来刚[2] 孟俊杰[2] 卓文飞[2] 

机构地区：[1]河南省农业科学院经济作物研究所,郑州450002 [2]河南省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究中心,郑州450002

出　　处：《中国农业气象》2012年第1期109-113,共5页Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology

基　　金：农业部智能化农业预警技术重点开放实验室2010年开放课题(2010-DAEW-04)

摘　　要：以河南中东部3个村庄为研究区,通过入户调查的方法,得到2003-2009年农户冬小麦实际产量数据,利用直线滑动平均法去除农户冬小麦趋势产量,从中提取出气象产量,并与相邻气象站点的数据进行相关分析,找出与产量相关度较高的气象因子。结果表明,研究区内影响冬小麦产量的关键气象因子为播种-越冬前降水量、灌浆-乳熟期日照时数、灌浆期平均气温,这些因子在冬小麦生长中分别以苗期旱灾,灌浆-乳熟期阴雨寡照和灌浆期高温的形式影响产量。研究结果可为冬小麦生产提供技术支持。The actual winter wheat yield data during 2003 -2009 were investigated in-home based on three villages , and the method of linear sliding average was used to remove trend yield of winter wheat, household in then the cli- matic yield was calculated. The correlation between climatic yield and meteorological data adjacent to three villages was analyzed. The results showed that precipitation of seeding-before winter, sunshine hours of filling-milk stage, and average temperature of filling stage were key meteorological factors to influence winter wheat yield, which appeared as drought disaster during seedling stage, cloudy drizzly conditions during filling-milk stage and high temperature during filling stage. The results could provide technical support for winter wheat production.

关 键 词：农户调查 河南 冬小麦产量 气象灾害因子 

分 类 号：S512.11[农业科学—作物学] S162.5