生产性服务业的集聚效应与经济增长——基于中国地级城市面板VAR分析  

The Agglomeration of Producer Services and Economic Growth——Based on Panel Data VAR Analysis of Prefecture-level Cities in China

作　　者：宋志刚[1] 韩峰[2] 赵玉奇[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100 [2]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《技术与创新管理》2012年第1期57-60,68,共5页Technology and Innovation Management

摘　　要：以2000-2009年的中国286个地级及以上城市为样本,从马歇尔、雅各布斯外部性及新经济地理的综合视角,采用基于面板VAR模型的动态计量经济方法探讨了生产性服务业集聚对城市经济增长的影响。结果表明生产性服务业规模、专业化集聚和多样化集聚与城市经济增长之间具有长期的均衡关系,且存在生产性服务业集聚对经济增长的单向因果关系;生产性服务业多样性而非专业化集聚促进了城市经济增长。由于城市生产性服务业整体规模偏小,其对经济增长的规模效应尚不显著。鼓励生产性服务业多样性发展,避免同一部门的过度集聚,扩大重点生产性服务部门的运营规模可能是较为理想的政策安排。From the comprehensive view of Marshall externalities, Jacobs externalities and new economic geography, a dy- namic econometric analysis is made on the effect of the agglomeration of producer services on economic growth across 286 prefectural or higher level cities for the period of 2000 -2009 in China based on panel data VAR model. The results show that there exist long-term equilibrium relationships between the scale of producer services, specialization agglomeration and variety agglomeration of producer services and the local economic growth. And there exists one-way causality relationship between the agglomeration of producer services and economic growth. The variety agglomeration other than specialization ag- glomeration promotes economic growth. Because the total size of producer services is small, the scale effects of producer services on economic growth are not significant. Encouraging the variety of producer services in cities and avoiding the over- agglomeration in the same sector, enlarging the operating scale of some important service sectors may be the expected poli- cies.

关 键 词：生产性服务业 专业化集聚 多样化集聚 规模经济 面板VAR 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]