闽台贸易对福建经济增长影响的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis the Effect of Trade Between Fujian and Taiwan on the Economic Growth of Fujian

作　　者：蔡洪杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学阳光学院,福州350015

出　　处：《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第1期72-76,共5页Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)

摘　　要：根据1992-2009年的经济数据,利用协整和Granger因果检验、脉冲响应及方差分解等方法,对闽台进出口贸易对福建经济增长的效应进行实证分析。研究表明,福建经济增长与闽台进出口贸易存在长期稳定的关系,闽台进出口贸易有力促进了台湾经济增长。According to the economic data during 1992-2009,the article empirically analyzed the effect of trade between Fujian and Taiwan on the economic growth of Fujian by employing the measurement of co-integration,granger causality tests,impulse response and variance decomposition.The research indicates that there is a long-term stable relationship between Fujian＇s economic growth and its trade with Taiwan;the import and export trade with Taiwan is a strong impetus to Fujian＇s economic growth.

关 键 词：闽台贸易 经济增长 协整 脉冲响应方差分解 

分 类 号：F710[经济管理—产业经济]