蕴震系统信息合成方法(ISSS)  

Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System

作　　者：周硕愚[1] 吴云[1] 董慧凤 

机构地区：[1]国家地震局地震研究所

出　　处：《中国地震》1990年第4期35-42,共8页Earthquake Research in China

摘　　要：本文以蕴震系统自组织演化理论为基础,提出了一种识别地震前兆和综合预报的新方法——蕴震系统信息合成方法(ISSS)。它具有通用性,既适合单学科台网,也适合多学科台网。从原始观测资料做起,通过异常识别,信息评价,信息合成,合成前兆图,熵和有序度来跟踪前兆场时空结构的演变,预测系统状态的变化。从而从整体上获得信息增益,提高地震前兆识别的可靠性。 本文简述了原理、模型、方法及其实际应用于大地震前兆识别的效果。In this paper, a new method——Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System(ISSS) ,for identifying of earthquake precursors and synthetic prediction of earthquake, has been presented based on the evolution theory of self-organization system. This new method is of generality. Not only is it suitable for analysis of monodisciplinary station network,but for analysis of multidisciplinary station network. Being started from rude observation data,this new method including the identification of precursory anomalies,the evaluation of information level,the synthesis of information,the synthetic chart of precursors, the entropy and the order,can be used to track the evolution of precursory field on time-space structure and to forecast the variation of the state of seismogenic system. So that,the gain of information and the reliability of identification of precursory anomalies are integrally improved.The principle,the model and the method of ISSS,as well as the practical effect of applying ISSS identification of earthquake precursorsare discussed in the paper.

关 键 词：蕴震系统 信息合成 地震前兆 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]