陕西苹果农用天气预报探索与实践  

Agro-meteorological Forecast Methods for Apple Planting in Shaanxi Province

作　　者：王景红[1] 梁轶[1] 刘映宁 屈振江[1] 柴芊[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西省经济作物气象服务台,西安710014 [2]陕西省咸阳市气象局,咸阳712000

出　　处：《气象科技》2012年第1期121-126,共6页Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：陕西省"13115"科技创新工程公共服务平台建设项目(2010FWPT-17);中国气象局业务化建设项目"陕西省苹果产量预报及农用天气预报业务能力建设"资助

摘　　要：利用陕西29个苹果基地县40年气象资料和7个代表站10年苹果物候观测资料,结合苹果生长发育适宜气象条件与气象灾害指标,选取天气状况、气温、空气相对湿度、风速等主要气象因子,运用农业气象基本原理和农业气象统计方法,综合评估农业气象资源匹配和灾害影响,研究开发了苹果生育期主要气象灾害、主要农事活动和生长气象条件适宜性等一系列农用天气预报产品,在果业生产管理和防灾减灾中发挥了积极作用。并结合业务服务提出了深化农用天气预报服务的建议和设想。By using the 40-year meteorological data from 29 basic meteorological stations and the 10-year phenological observation data of apple from 7 representative stations,in combination with the indexes of suitable meteorological conditions for apple growth and meteorological disaster indexes for apple,selecting such meteorological factors as weather condition,air temperature,relative humidity,and wind speed,a series of agrometeorological forecast products（including meteorological disaster forecasts,major farming activities,and meteorological conditions suitable for apple growth） are developed.These products are based on the comprehensive evaluation of agrometeorological resources management and disaster effects by using the basic agrometeorological theory and statistical methods,which play an active role in apple production management and disaster prevention and reduction.Some constructive suggestions and ideas to improve agrometeorological forecast service are presented.

关 键 词：苹果种植 农用天气预报 气象条件 气象灾害指标 

分 类 号：P451[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]