2010世博会对上海文化产业影响力的定量评估  

Quantitative Assessment on Influence of Expo 2010 on Shanghai Culture Industry

作　　者：贾跃[1] 梁矗[1] 姚莹燕[1] 曹晨[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连东软信息学院计算机科学与技术系,辽宁大连116023

出　　处：《计算机工程》2012年第5期73-75,共3页Computer Engineering

摘　　要：对上海文化产业发展水平进行量化处理,采用灰色理论预测得到不举办世博会的情况下上海文化发展水平曲线,将其与举办世博会情况下的文化发展曲线进行比较,由此定量评估2010世博会对上海文化产业发展的影响力,并利用GM(1,1)模型对后世博时期的余波效应进行评估。This paper quantifies the developing level of Shanghai cultural Industry,uses gray theory to predict the culture developing situation in such a case that Expo is not hold in Shanghai.The prediction curve is compared with the curve got under the situation of holding Shanghai Expo so as to quantitatively evaluate the influence on Shanghai cultural industry development.And GM（1,1） model is applied to assess aftereffect for the later period of Expo.

关 键 词：2010世博会 文化产业发展水平 定量评估 预测模型 评估模型 余波 

分 类 号：TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]