电力系统的递推自适应超短期负荷预报  

THE RECURRENT ADAPTIVE SUPER-SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECAST OF POWER SYSTEM

作　　者：陆海峰[1] 单渊达[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学,南京210096

出　　处：《江苏电机工程》2000年第1期11-14,34,共5页Jiangsu Electrical Engineering

摘　　要：几分钟到一小时的超短期负荷预报对电网在线调度、控制有重要的作用。针对超短期负荷预报的特点，引入控制理论中的相关理论原理，将时间序列方法作了改进，并用尽可能简单的算法实现了实时超短期负荷预报，经过对地区电网实际计算证明了方法的正确性。The super-short-term load forecast plays an important role in on-line dispatch and control of power system, but applicatious of it and articles about it are still few at present.Considering the characteristics of super-short-term load forecast this paper makes use of control theory to improve the method of time series and realize the algorithm as simple as possible.Its validity is proved by applying it to a practical power system.

关 键 词：超短期负荷预报 自适应 电力系统调度 电力网 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] TM715