基于SD的工程建设安全监管演化博弈研究  

Study on the Evolutionary Game for Project Construction Safety Regulation Based on System Dynamics Model

作　　者：贾璐[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]南昌大学建筑工程学院,江西南昌330031 [2]华中科技大学土木工程与力学学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《南昌大学学报（工科版）》2012年第1期42-48,共7页Journal of Nanchang University(Engineering & Technology)

摘　　要：利用系统动力学建立了工程建设安全监管问题中主要参与方之间的多方动态演化博弈模型,通过仿真和稳定性分析表明模型不存在演化稳定均衡点。提出了改进的动态监管惩罚策略,仿真验证了改进型策略对原模型中博弈过程波动特性的抑制效果,并通过稳定性分析表明:动态惩罚策略条件下新的演化博弈模型存在有稳定的演化均衡,为监管政策的合理制定提供一个分析平台。A system dynamics （SD） model was built for studying a multi-person evolutionary game between the major participants of construction. The stability analysis and simulation results showed that evolutionary equilibrium （EE） was not exist. Therefore, an optimized regulation strategy was suggested based on SD model, and proved to have a good effect in controlling the oscillation. Furthermore, the stability analysis of the new evolutionary game with the optimized strategy proved that EE exist. In this study, a convenient way was provided for regulation policy making

关 键 词：系统动力学 多方演化博弈 建设安全监管 监管惩罚策略 

分 类 号：N941.3[自然科学总论—系统科学]