反倾销被诉贸易效应的实证分析与比较——基于1998-2008年动态面板数据模型的SYS-GMM估计  

Analysis and Compare on Trade Effects of Antidumping Action on Involved Countries:SYS-GMM Estimation Based on Dynamic Panel Data Model during 1998-2008

作　　者：杨仕辉[1] 许乐生[1] 邓莹莹[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院

出　　处：《产经评论》2012年第2期122-133,共12页Industrial Economic Review

基　　金：广东省教育厅人文社会科学研究重大攻关项目(10ZGXM79005);刘德学主持

摘　　要：在整理全球反倾销案件的基础上,通过收集相关贸易数据,利用1998-2008年被诉反倾销案件为样本建立动态面板数据模型,实证分析了12个主要国家和地区被诉反倾销的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应,通过SYS-GMM估计进行回归估计得到稳健性结果。实证结果表明,反倾销措施对贸易额和出口市场份额的影响远大于关税措施的影响,成为多数国家限制进口、保护本国国内产业的主要贸易政策。反倾销对中国、日本、中国台湾和俄罗斯的负面影响较大。最后考察反倾销对产业竞争力的影响发现,反倾销申诉和反倾销措施对申诉方的产业竞争力有显著的提升作用,并且反倾销措施的影响远大于反倾销申诉的影响。Based on global antidumping cases and relevant trade data,then a dynamic panel data model is established to estimate the trade destructing effect and trade diversion effect of antidumping,using antidumping data during 1998-2008 through SYS-GMM.Empirical studies show that,the influence of antidumping method on trade value and market share are far larger than that of tariff,and antidumping measures becoming the major trade policy to limit import and protect local industries.China,Japan,Chinese Taipei and Russia are among the most influenced countries.At last,by estimating the effect of antidumping on industry competitiveness,it can be concluded that both antidumping initiation and antidumping method have positive effect on improving the industry competitiveness of the appealing country,while the influence on antidumping measures is much larger than initiation.

关 键 词：反倾销 动态面板数据 贸易破坏效应 贸易转移效应 显示性比较优势指数 SYS-GMM 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计] F741[理学—数学]