航运企业风险的AHP-模糊综合评价应用研究  

Research on the Risk Assessment of Shipping Enterprise Based on Fuzzy-AHP

作　　者：徐建豪[1] 李赞[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛远洋船员职业学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《青岛大学学报（工程技术版）》2012年第1期89-93,共5页Journal of Qingdao University(Engineering & Technology Edition)

摘　　要：为建立航运企业风险评价数学模型,在识别航运企业内部风险和外部风险的基础上,建立了航运企业风险指标评价体系,并结合专家经验和行业常识,运用AHP-模糊综合评价法对航运企业的风险状况进行实证分析,分析结果表明,A公司的整体风险值风险较低为0.39,该评价结果与A公司所处的内、外部环境相符合,能很好的评价该公司的风险水平,该评价结果解决了航运企业风险评价中的模糊性和不确定性问题。For the establishment of mathematical model of shipping enterprise risk assessment, based on the recognition of the internal and external risks of shipping enterprise, this paper is mainly focused on the establishment of the risk assessment system. This system combines expertise and industry common knowl- edge into the importance of each index, making empirical analysis by the use of AHP-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to get the index values, the results show that Company A＇s overall risk value is lower for 0.39, which matched to company A＇s inside and external environment. It can be good to evaluate the risk of the company, and so it provides a comparatively successful solution for the ambiguity and uncertainty in the risk assessment of the shipping enterprise.

关 键 词：水路运输 风险评价 AHP-模糊综合评价 航运企业风险 风险管理 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F550.6