外商直接投资的产业结构效应——基于江苏数据的协整分析  

A Co-integration Analysis on the Industrial Structure Effect to Foreign Direct Investment——Based on the data From Jiangsu Province

作　　者：李用俊[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学,南京210093 [2]淮南师范学院,淮南232001

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2012年第3期89-96,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：江苏省社科联研究课题"后危机时期江苏开放型经济的发展对策研究"(项目编号:10-B-01)

摘　　要：外商直接投资结构和产业结构的优化对经济增长起着重要的作用,格兰杰因果检验验证了它们之间的关系,并通过协整检验发现三者之间的协整关系,由实证分析可知,第一产业比重的下降会促进第一产业外商直接投资增速的增长和经济增长,第二产业外商直接投资增速的增长和第二产业比重的下降会促进经济增长,第三产业外商直接投资增速的增长和第三产业比重上升会促进经济增长。Optimized foreign direct investment and industrial structure plays an important role on economic growth, the Granger causality test verifies the relationship between them, and through cointegration test the cointegration relationships were found between them. The empirical analysis shows that the decline in the proportion of the first industry will promote economic growth and the growth rate on foreign direct investment in the first industry; the growing foreign investment and the decreasing growth rate of the proportion in the second k-gttmtty will promote economic growth; the growth rate of foreign direct investment and increasing the proportion in the third indust will promote economic growth.

关 键 词：外商直接投资结构 产业结构 经济增长 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]