2012年电煤价格走势分析及相关建议  

Analysis on Trend of Power Coal Price in 2012 and Suggestions

作　　者：徐其春[1] 李红军[2] 

机构地区：[1]国家电网公司,北京100031 [2]国网能源研究院,北京100052

出　　处：《能源技术经济》2012年第3期32-34,共3页Electric Power Technologic Economics

摘　　要：针对近年来电煤价格的持续上涨导致的煤电矛盾反复出现的问题,从我国电煤主要构成中的合同煤和市场煤的价格影响因素出发,分析了2012年电煤价格走势。合同电煤价格主要受国家政策影响,2012年内价格较为稳定;市场电煤的价格则主要取决于市场供需关系等因素,2012年受国内经济增长趋势放缓等综合因素的影响,市场电煤的价格全年基本稳定,但不排除局部地区受季节等因素影响电煤价格可能波动走高,并就确保电煤稳定供应提出了相关建议。To address the recurring issue of continously rising prices of thermal coal which has resulted in the coal- electricity price imbalance in the recent years, this paper analyzes the 2012 power coal price trend by exploring the influencing factors of the prices of the contract coal and the market coal, which are the main components of China＇s thermal coal. The contract coal price, which is mainly influenced by national policies, will remain relatively stable in the year 2012, while the market coal price, which depends on market supply and demand and other factors, will also roughly remain stable through the whole year due to the slowdown of the domestic economic growth and other factors. However, there are chances that the power coal price may fluctuate to a higher position at times in some areas due to seasonal factors. Relevant suggestions are put forward to ensure steady supply of power coal.

关 键 词：电煤供需 电煤价格 合同煤 市场煤 

分 类 号：TK01[动力工程及工程热物理] F426.21[经济管理—产业经济]