中纬度地区的洪水与太阳活动关系的研究  

Relationship Between Solar Activities and Large Flood in the Middle Latitude Regions of the Earth

作　　者：李可军[1] 向福元[2] 李建勇 顾啸马[1,4] 李秋莎[1] 陈学昆[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院云南天文台,云南昆明650011 [2]湘潭大学物理系,湖南湘潭411105 [3]国家光大银行南京分行,江苏南京210008 [4]中国科学院光学天文联合开放研究实验室

出　　处：《云南天文台台刊》2000年第2期34-38,共5页Publications of the Yunnan Observatoty

摘　　要：本文试图说明太阳活动与地球天气气候相关联 ,并用韩国江汉大洪水及我国长江大洪水的事例建立中纬度 (2 0°～ 4 0°)地区的洪水与太阳活动的统计规律 :二者呈负相关 ,大洪水常发生在太阳活动相对宁静的年份。由此本文推断未来几年长江发生大洪水的可能性不大。It is demonstrated in this paper that there is a close relation between solar activities and occurrence of large flood in the middle latitude (20°～40°)regions of the Earth,and a statistical regularity is found by using two records of the large flood occurring at the Jianghan River of South Korea and at the Yingzhi River of China.The main result is that occurrence of large flood in the middle latitude is negatively correlated with solar activities,that is to asy,large flood usually occurs at the time when the sun is rather quiet.At last it is inferred that the possibility of large flood occurring at the Yingzhi River in the following several years will be much small.

关 键 词：洪水 太阳活动 中纬度地区 

分 类 号：P182.9[天文地球—天文学] P331.1[天文地球—水文科学]