统筹城乡视角下我国农村消费函数实证研究  

Empirical Study of China′s Rural Consumption Function from the Perspective of Balancing Urban and Rural Development

作　　者：王建辉[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学,北京100083 [2]北京青年政治学院,北京100102

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2012年第11期6857-6858,共2页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：基于统筹城乡视角,研究影响我国农村居民消费水平的因素。选取1985～2008年农村居民家庭人均纯收入和农村居民人均年生活性消费支出的相关数据,建立农村居民家庭人均纯收入和人均生活性消费支出的回归模型,运用计量软件对其进行回归分析和误差修正模型检验。分析结果表明,农村居民当期消费与当期收入、滞后1期的消费、滞后1期的收入之间不仅存在长期均衡关系,而且存在短期均衡关系,当期收入是决定本期消费的主要原因。提出了推进农业现代化、积极发展农民专业化合作组织、完善农村土地流转机制、提高农村公共服务水平、加快农村剩余劳动力转移等政策建议,以提高我国农村消费水平。From the perspective of balancing urban and rural development,this article researches the factors influencing the consumption level of rural residents in China.I select the relevant data concerning per capita net income of rural households and annual per capita consumer spending of rural residents for living in the period 1985-2008,establish the regression model of per capita net income of rural households and per capita consumer spending of rural residents for living,and conduct regression analysis and error correction model test using the measurement software.The analysis results show that there is not only long-erm equilibrium relationship between rural residents＇ current consumption and rural residents＇ current income,between rural residents＇ consumption in lag period 1 and rural residents＇ income in lag period 1,but also short-term equilibrium relationship;current income is the main reason for determining the current consumption）.Corresponding proposals are put forward to promote the level of rural consumption in China as follows： propel agricultural modernization;actively develop specialized cooperative organizations of rural residents;improve rural land transfer mechanism;promote the level of public services in rural areas;accelerate the transfer of rural surplus labor.

关 键 词：统筹城乡 消费函数模型 当期收入 农民增收 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F292[经济管理—国民经济]