基于灰色系统理论的车站通过能力计算方法研究  

Research on Calculation Method of Station Passing Capacity based on Grey System Theory

作　　者：方惠[1] 王慈光[1] 赵亮[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2012年第4期28-34,共7页Railway Transport and Economy

摘　　要：以车站连续3个昼夜的实际作业写实数据为样本,采用序列弱化算子降低原始数据序列的波动性,根据区间估计思想与灰色系统理论,提出车站通过能力的区间表示和计算方法及计算步骤,并以算例验证了该方法的合理性和有效性。Taking the actual operation real data in continuous 3 days and night in station as example,using sequence weakened arithmetic operators to reduce the fluctuation of original data sequence,and according to the sectional estimation idea and grey system theory,this paper puts forward the sectional indication and calculation method of station passing capacity as well as its calculation step,and validates the rationality and validity of the method by using examples.

关 键 词：铁路 车站能力 序列弱化 灰数灰度 区间估计 

分 类 号：U292.51[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]