我国适度外汇储备的实证研究——基于需求函数分析法  

Empirical Study on Appropriate Scale of Foreign Exchange Reserves in China——Based on Demand Function Analysis Method

作　　者：刘浩[1] 王三兴[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥230039

出　　处：《蚌埠学院学报》2012年第2期66-69,共4页Journal of Bengbu University

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(11BJL044);安徽大学大学生科研训练计划项目(KYXL20110080);安徽省高校优秀青年人才基金项目(05011416)

摘　　要：根据已有的关于适度外汇储备的研究结果,通过分析确定对我国外汇储备量具有显著影响的因素。在假定1994～2006年我国外汇储备规模为适度的基础上,运用回归分析方法建立模型,并对2007～2010年我国适度外汇储备量进行预测,将其与实际储备量对比,发现当前我国外汇储备过量,并对此提出相关建议。The factors are found which have significant influence on China＇s foreign exchange reserves based on the existing research results of appropriate foreign exchange reserves.We assume that the quantity of Chinese reserves from 1994 to 2006 is moderate,then use the method of regression analysis to forecast moderate reserves of China from 2007 to 2010 and compare it with the actual scale of reserves.Conclusions are that the current amount of foreign exchange reserve of China is excessive and some related proposals are put forward.

关 键 词：外汇储备 需求函数 适度规模 

分 类 号：F224.7[经济管理—国民经济]