中国碳强度对行业发展、能源效率及中间投入系数的弹性研究  

Elasticities of China's Carbon Intensity with Respect to Industrial Development,Energy Efficiency and Intermediate Input Coefficients

作　　者：王锋[1] 冯根福[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2012年第5期50-62,120,共14页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目"中国碳强度的动态优化控制研究:驱动因素;运行机制及控制系统"(71173170);中国博士后科学基金项目"实现中国碳强度目标的政策选择及其贡献潜力研究"(20100481348)的资助

摘　　要：运用基于投入产出表的碳强度弹性计算模型,本文测算了碳强度对行业发展、能源效率及中间投入系数的弹性。测算结果揭示了29个行业的发展对全国碳强度的影响,并区分了为实现碳强度目标而应当控制发展的8个行业和鼓励发展的21个行业;量化了各行业提高能源效率对全国碳强度的影响,并辨识出需要提高能源效率的3个关键行业;刻画了发挥行业间相互关联的经济效率对全国碳强度的影响,并寻找出需要提高能源技术水平和管理水平的5个重点行业。Using the models for calculating the elasticities of carbon intensity based on input-output table, this paper measures the elasticities of China＇s carbon intensity with respect to industrial development, energy efficiency and intermediate input coefficients. The results reveal the impacts of development of China＇s 29 in- dustrial sections on national carbon intensity and distinguish between the eight in- dustries which should be appropriately controlled and the 21 industries which should be encouraged for achieving national carbon intensity target. The conclusions quantify the effects of improving energy efficiency in all industries on national car- bon intensity and identify three key industries which need to improve efficiency in the use of fossil fuels. The results also describe the influences of improving interre- lated economic efficiency among industries on national carbon intensity and find five key industries which need to improve the technology and management.

关 键 词：碳强度 弹性 行业发展 能源效率 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]