基于环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的经济增长与环境污染关系研究——以浙江省为例  

Study on the Relation Between Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution Based on the Hypothesis of Environmental Kuznets Curve——Take Zhejiang Province as an Example

作　　者：陆根尧[1] 盛龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学,杭州310018

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2012年第4期28-35,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"产业集聚与城市化互动发展的模式;机制及空间结构演化研究"(项目编号:70873112);浙江省环境保护厅2010年招标项目"环境保护参与全省经济结构调整;转变经济发展方式对策措施研究"(项目编号:2010B16)

摘　　要：环境库兹涅茨曲线是否符合中国的情况,一直是环境经济学界争论的焦点。本文首先运用曲线拟合法分析了1986～2009年浙江省经济增长与环境污染之间的关系,接着运用多元回归法探讨了环境污染的主要影响因素。研究结果表明,浙江省在样本期间符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假说,验证了其在中国的适用性。同时研究发现,浙江省在污染量上升阶段规模因素起主导作用,在污染量下降阶段技术因素起主导作用,而结构因素作用并不明显。因此,政府部门在制定政策目标和各种经济政策措施时,要由追求经济总量的增加向更加注重经济效益的提升转变,以降低规模因素对环境质量的恶化作用,同时要加快产业结构优化升级、扩大科技投资,以加强结构和技术因素对环境质量的改善作用。The question that whether Chinese situation fits the hypothesis of environmental Kuznets curve is always a controversial focus in environmental economics field.Firstly,the paper uses curve fitting method to analyze the relation between economic growth and environmental pollution in Zhejiang province from 1986 to 2009.Then it analyzes the main influence factors of environmental pollution by multiple regression method.The results show that Zhejiang province fits the hypothesis of environmental Kuznets curve during the sample period,and this proves the applicability of EKC hypothesis in China.Besides,the results indicate that scale factor has been in a dominant position at the increasing stage of pollutant emissions,and technology factor has been in a dominant position at the decreasing stage of pollutant emissions,and structure factor has been not obvious in Zhejiang province.Therefore,when governments are making policy goals and economic policy measures,they should be changed from pursuing the increase of economic volume to pay attention to the improvement of economic efficiency for reducing the deterioration of environmental quality from scale factor,and should accelerate the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and expand technology investment for promoting the improvement of environmental quality from structure and technology factors.

关 键 词：经济增长 环境污染 浙江省 环境库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]