山东半岛蓝色经济区FDI与经济增长关系的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis of Relationship between FDI and Economic Growth in Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone

作　　者：李伟[1] 柳光程[1] 乔兆颖[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行济南分行,山东济南250021

出　　处：《金融发展研究》2012年第4期54-57,共4页Journal Of Financial Development Research

摘　　要：本文基于1991—2010年山东半岛蓝色经济区GDP与FDI数据,通过构建时间序列回归模型,对该地区FDI与经济增长的关系进行了协整分析及Granger因果关系检验。结果显示:FDI与经济增长之间表现出协同变化的一致趋势,短期看该区经济增长促进了FDI的增加,中长期看FDI对该区经济增长具有显著的带动作用。In this paper,by constructing time series regression model,we discuss the relationship between FDI and economic growth in Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone through co-integration analysis and Granger causality tests,based on GDP and FDI date from 1991 to 2010.The results show that,trend of FDI development and economic growth is consistent.In short term,FDI is promoted by economic growth;in medium to long term,FDI has significant positive effect on economic growth.

关 键 词：FDI 经济增长 协整分析 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]