地面保护目标相对危险度确定算法设计及应用  

Design and apply the relative criticality arithmetic of ground protected objects

作　　者：何京江[1,2] 柴毅[3] 魏洪波[2] 王强[2] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学电信学院,陕西西安710049 [2]中国西昌卫星发射中心,四川西昌615000 [3]重庆大学自动化学院,重庆400044

出　　处：《重庆大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第4期83-87,共5页Journal of Chongqing University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(60974090);教育部博士点基金资助项目(200806110021)

摘　　要：针对运载火箭发射飞行安全控制任务的核心问题——地面保护目标,提出了地面保护目标相对危险度确定算法。此算法将地面保护目标相对危险度的度量考虑为当前时刻保护目标与火箭预示落点的距离、火箭残骸碎片散布和毒气扩散分布、保护目标的人口分布、保护目标重要设施的代价函数,实现了目标的危险程度综合评估。通过将该算法应用于某对策分析及决策支持系统,实现了运载火箭安全控制决策中对地面保护目标危险程度的定量描述,为安控人员实施火箭安全控制决策提供了有效的支持。For the core problem of ground safety control-the relative criticality estimation of ground protected objects in the rocket launch process, the relative criticality algorithm of ground protected objects is proposed in the paper. This algorithm transforms the measurement of the relative criticality for ground protected objects into cost function which considers the rocket＇ s current fall point, the distribution of rocket＇s wreckage and poison gas, the population and the important establishments of the objects, realize the comprehensive evaluation of the relative criticality for different objects. To verify the effectiveness of this algorithm, it is applied to a decision support system to achieve the quantitative evaluation of the ground protected objects in several rocket launching tasks. This algorithm provides quantificational judgment evidence for rocket safety control officers in effective decision-making for safety control of the rocket launching.

关 键 词：火箭安全控制 地面保护目标 目标相对危险度 

分 类 号：TM571.6[电气工程—电器]