加氢站定量风险分析研究  

Study on quantitative risk analysis of Hydrogen refueling station

作　　者：袁雄军[1] 朱常龙[2] 任常兴[3] 葛秀坤[1] 王凯全[1] 

机构地区：[1]常州大学环境与安全工程学院,江苏常州213164 [2]南京工业大学城市建设与安全工程学院,江苏南京210009 [3]公安部天津消防研究所,天津300381

出　　处：《可再生能源》2012年第5期75-79,83,共6页Renewable Energy Resources

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划子专题项目(2011BAK03B08-01);常州科教城(高职教育园区)院校科研基金项目(K2011312)

摘　　要：结合定量风险分析理论和加氢站的特点,从加氢站的事故场景、事故频率、事故后果、死亡概率和个人风险与社会风险5个方面进行了研究,提出了加氢站定量风险分析模型,并结合某加氢站进行了实例计算分析,计算出该加氢站量化的个人风险和社会风险,再与国内外认可的可接受风险标准进行比较,得出其风险水平是否可接受的分析结论。其量化的风险分析结论将对加氢站建设的审批和公众安全认可具有重要指导意义。A in-depth study from five aspects,including accident scenario,accident frequency,accident consequence,probability of fatality,individual risk and societal risk in this paper,proposes quantitative risk analysis model of hydrogen refueling station.Then taking one hydrogen refueling station as a case,calculates the quantitative index of individual risk and societal risk,and estimates risk whether is acceptable or not based on comparing to the acceptable risk criteria at home and abroad.The quantitative risk analysis conclusion will be very helpful to gain approval of the authority and public acceptance during the permitting process.

关 键 词：加氢站 定量风险分析 事故后果 事故频率 死亡概率 个人风险 社会风险 

分 类 号：TK6[动力工程及工程热物理—生物能] TK91