产业结构和效率份额对碳排放的影响及关联分析  

The Impact of Industrial Structure and Efficiency Share on Carbon Emissions

作　　者：李健[1,2] 吴成霞[1] 张吉辉[2] 

机构地区：[1]天津理工大学管理学院,天津300384 [2]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2012年第6期67-72,共6页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(11YJA630046);天津市工业和信息化发展"十二五"规划重点课题资助项目(2010-KT-009(2))

摘　　要：研究产业结构对我国碳排放的影响,对寻找减排途径、实现减排目标具有重要意义。文章首先对我国三次产业和生活消费进行碳排放分析;在此基础上,采用因素分解法将碳排放强度分解为结构份额和效率份额,并利用灰色关联法研究三次产业、生活消费碳排放量与碳排放总量的关系;然后计算出1995—2009年间的三次产业的结构份额和效率份额,分析三次产业、生活消费碳排放量与碳排放总量的关联度。旨在揭示产业结构变动对碳排放的影响,指出产业机构优化升级的方向。It is important to study the impact of industrial structure on carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity in China. This paper analyzes the characteristics of carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity respectively. Based on that, using the factor decomposition method, the carbon emission intensity is decomposed into structure share and efficiency share. The paper studies the correlation of industrial and living carbon emissions and total carbon emissions using the way of grey correlation method, calculates the industrial structure share and efficiency share from 1995 to 2009. The paper analyzes the correlation of industrial and living carbon emissions and total carbon emissions, reveals the impact of industrial structure changing on carbon emissions, and proposes the orientation of industrial structure optimization.

关 键 词：产业结构 碳排放强度 结构份额 效率份额 灰色关联 

分 类 号：F203[经济管理—国民经济] F206