中国西北地区与东部地区跨区域金融流实证研究  

Empirical Research of inter-regional financial flaw between Northwest Inland and East Coast of China

作　　者：王培安[1] 白永平[1] 纪发俊 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,甘肃兰州市730070 [2]青岛农村商业银行,山东省农村信用合作社,山东青岛266000

出　　处：《干旱区地理》2012年第2期295-301,共7页Arid Land Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目:基于区域空间结构的中心城市流量经济效应分析(编号:40771054)资助;高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金联合资助课题(20106203110002);西北师范大学知识与科技创新团队项目(NWNU-KJCXGC-03-50)资助

摘　　要：西北地区是我国不发达的地区,其经济金融发展状况远远落后于东部发达地区。运用相对量分析法分析了西北地区金融流流向东部地区的现实情况,借助计量经济学协整分析VEC模型和格兰杰因果检验等方法对两地区经济差距和金融差距之间的关系进行实证研究,结果表明:东西部经济差距与金融差距存在因果关系,两地经济差距引起金融要素从落后的西北地区流向了发达的东部地区,这进一步阻碍了西北地区的经济增长,并使得两地区经济差距逐渐拉大,最后给出相应的政策建议。For a country,capital is often transferred from the less developed regions to developed regions;this would make the more developed regions be developed and underdeveloped regions even further behind due to the lack of effective financial support.The Northwest is one of the most undeveloped regions,whose economic and financial situation have been lagged far behind the developed east part of China.From recent economic development situation,the Northwest is China＇s sparsely populated region with harsh natural conditions,low social productivity and not well-developed financial situation.This issue should get our government and economists to attach great importance to the related research because the uneven development of the region and the country will affect social stability.The paper uses relative quantitative analysis to study the reality of the financial flows from the Northwest to the East of China.And based on Cointegretion analysis,Granger causality test and model VEC,the author finds out that these is a stable causal relationship between the economy gap and financial gap of two regions.And the financial elements escape out of the Northwest to the East,which has hampered the economic development of the Northwest and enlarged this gap.The test results show that there are a economic gap between the East and the West and a clear financial gap between the cointegration relationship,indicating the economic gap and the financial gap does exist the long-term equilibrium relationship,this relationship can be used in cointegration equation vector error correction model representation.This paper finds out the appropriate policy recommendations.These recommendations will help us think about the Northwest development,and reduce regional disparities adverse effects.Accelerating the development of economic construction is a difficult and responsible work.For the Northwest,the lack of funds is a serious problem;the less total deposits are of inhibition of total loans to market,thereby inhibiting the economy growth of the N

关 键 词：金融流 协整分析 单位根 因果检验 中国 

分 类 号：F832.7[经济管理—金融学]