环境税改革对经济总体影响的预测分析  

A Predictive Analysis of the General Influence of Environment Tax Reform on Economy

作　　者：白彦锋[1] 董瑞晗[1] 

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学财税研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《内蒙古财经学院学报》2012年第1期7-12,共6页Journal of inner Mongolia finance and economics college

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(10CGL059)

摘　　要："十二五"时期为实现"包容性增长",环境税已势在必行。然而,鉴于环境税对经济影响的不确定性,开征环境税应慎重评估其效应再逐步推进。本文从环境污染税入手,利用计量模型实证分析了其对减少污染、保护环境的效果及对工业企业产品成本、出口和通货膨胀压力的影响,进一步得出相应的政策建议。In the ＂Twelfth Five-Year Plan＂ period,in order to realize the goal of ＂inclusive growth＂,it is imperative to undertake environment tax reform.However,due to the uncertainty of the influence of environment tax on economy,we＇d better evaluate its effect before collecting and spreading environment tax.Starting from environment pollution tax,by using econometric model,this paper undertakes an empirical analysis to analyze its effect on decreasing pollution,protecting environment,its influence on industrial enterprise product,export and inflation pressure.Further,this paper puts forward corresponding suggestions.

关 键 词：环境税改革 减排效果 消极影响 

分 类 号：F810.42[经济管理—财政学]