预测卫生服务需求量的多元回归分析模型  

A Multiple Regression Model of Forecasting the Demand for Health Services

作　　者：李克均[1] 时松和[1] 郑戈[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南医科大学卫生统计与社会医学教研室

出　　处：《中国卫生统计》1990年第2期5-7,共3页Chinese Journal of Health Statistics

摘　　要：卫生服务需求量是一系列变量的函数。本文利用全国农村卫生服务抽样调查资料,用多元回归法分析了文盲率、老龄人口百分比、人均生产总值、乡村卫生人员数、两周患病率等与就诊需求量之间的关系,并建立了一个较为满意的方程,为预测农村就诊需求量提供科学计算方法。The demand for health services is a function of many variables.By applying the data of Health Service Sampling Survey of China's Rural Areas, this paper has analyzed the relationship between the five factors (the percentage of illiteracy, the percentage of the old, the products per head, the number of the village health workers,the incidence of diseases within two weeks)and the demand(the percentage of seeking medical advice), and built up a function, The result is comparatively satisfactory and can be used for forecasting.

关 键 词：就诊需求量 多元回归 卫生统计 

分 类 号：R195.1[医药卫生—卫生统计学]