吉林省四平市城市化发展动力机制研究  

Research on the Dynamic Mechanism of Urbanization Development of Siping City in Jilin Province

作　　者：钟凤[1,2] 李秀霞[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]吉林师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,吉林四平136000 [2]吉林师范大学城市文化研究所,吉林四平136000

出　　处：《水土保持研究》2012年第3期263-268,共6页Research of Soil and Water Conservation

基　　金：四平市社会科学基金项目"基于城市竞争力的四平市发展战略研究"(20090514);吉林省科技厅基金项目(20080605)

摘　　要：对影响城市化发展的推动和制约因素进行定量分析与研究,可实现地区城市化的持续稳定发展。利用1996—2010年《四平统计年鉴》数据,分析了四平市人口城市化、工业化率和综合城市化水平的发展现状。并在构建动力机制多元回归模型的基础上,采用多元线性回归和逐项逐步回归法定量分析四平地区城市化发展的动力机制因素。结果表明:(1)产业结构变化、地区经济发展水平的提高及社会发展的进一步改善,成为推动四平地区城市化发展的主动力因素;(2)三产就业结构、工业化率、人口城市化水平、城镇建设、经济外向度和乡镇企业发展为其次动力因素;(3)农业产值与就业比重和工业就业比重为四平市城市发展的微动力因素,但不可忽视。该研究结果可为探究四平市城市化与区域经济协调发展提供依据。The quantitative research on promotion and constraint factors affecting urbanization development is very important to achieve the sustainable and stable development of regional urbanization. In this paper, the status of Siping City＇s population urbanization, industrialization, and the integrated urbanization development was analyzed according to the ＇Statistical Yearbook of Siping＇ data from 1996-2010. And then based on the establishing multiple regression model of dynamic mechanism, we got Sipingrs dynamic mechanism re- lationship of urbanization development by using methods of multiple linear regression and stepwise regression one by one., The results showed that. （1） industrial structure change, regional economic and social develop- ment were active power factors of Sipingls urbanization development; （2） industrial employment structure, industrialization, population urbanization, urban construction, economic extroversion and township enterprises development were sub-motivating faetors; （3） the proportion of agricultural output,agricultural employment proportion and industrial employment accounted for the micro-dynamic factors, but they could not be ignored. The study results could provide a basis for exploring the coordinated development of Siping City s urbanization and regional economic.

关 键 词：多元回归分析 城市化 动力机制 四平市 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]