基于选择模型的农村劳动力非农就业影响因素分析——以陕西武功县为例  

Analysis of Influence Factors Based on the Choice Model of Rural Labor Force Non-agricultural Employment——A Case Study of Wugong County in Shaanxi

作　　者：尚进[1] 王征兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100

出　　处：《中国农学通报》2012年第14期205-209,共5页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin

基　　金：新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-05-0859);国家自然科学基金项目(70273035);教育部人文社会科学研究项目"村干部在农村社区管理中的职务行为规律及规范研究"(12YJA630138)

摘　　要：为了研究农村劳动力的非农就业问题对提高农民收入,促进农民充分就业,推动二元经济结构转型有着重要意义。基于2011年8月陕西省武功县83个农户的调查数据,建立Probit为代表的选择模型,研究教育程度、性别、年龄、受培训状况、婚姻状态、村干部作用以及人均土地面积对非农就业决策的影响。研究结果表明:婚姻状况,受培训状况和家庭人均土地面积因素不显著,而性别、年龄、接受教育年限和村干部作用因素显著,基于分析结果提出应大力发展农村教育事业,加强对农村劳动力的培训力度;完善农村社会保障体系,加快小城镇建设步伐,发展高效、低耗、环保的乡镇企业,培育农村劳动力就业新的增长点。Study the non-agricultural employment problems of rural labor force have great significance of increasing peasant＇s income and promote dual economic structure transformation.Along with market reform deepening,non-agricultural income was gradually becoming the main part of farmers＇ income growth,the trend of non-agricultural was obviously.According to the survey data of 83 peasants＇ household in Wugong County in August of 2011.Establish Probit Model as the representative of choice model,study on the condition of education degree,age,gender,training,marital status,effect of village cadre and land area per capita influence non-agricultural employment.Study found that,marital status,training status and family land area per capita are not significant.Gender,age,education and role of village cadres were significant.Based on the analysis results suggested that the rural education should greatly developed,the training of rural labor force should enhanced.To improve rural social security system and speed up the pace of construction of small towns.Construct efficient,lower energy consumption and environmental protection township enterprises.Foster new growth point of rural labor force employment.

关 键 词：非农就业 影响因素 武功县 PROBIT模型 

分 类 号：F304.6[经济管理—产业经济]