武汉市产业结构与经济发展的关系研究  

Relationship between Industrial Structure and Economic Development in Wuhan

作　　者：杨策平[1] 陈立波[1] 陈姣[1] 陈倩[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北工业大学理学院,湖北武汉430068

出　　处：《湖北工业大学学报》2012年第2期95-99,共5页Journal of Hubei University of Technology

基　　金：湖北省教育厅项目(2010y37)

摘　　要：首先通过各产业生产总值及其构成、人均GDP、产业结构变动速度K值系数、比较劳动生产率、产业结构偏离度、区位熵、霍夫曼系数等经济指标,分析了武汉市产业结构的现状,接着建立数量经济模型并利用EViews软件研究了产业结构对经济增长的平稳性关系,然后结合DEA模型及MATLAB软件分析了各种因素的相对有效性.最后根据灰色GM(1,1)模型理论,通过MATLAB软件对2004年-2009年的生产总值进行拟合并预测未来5年的生产总值情况,进而对整个武汉市的产业结构和经济状况作了合理科学的分析,提出了优化产业结构及促进经济增长的建议.Firstly, the status of the industrial structure in Wuhan was analyzed based on the industry＇s GDP and its components, per capita GDP, changes in industrial structure, the speed coefficient K value, com- parative labor productivity, industrial structure deviation, location quotient, and Hoffman factor analysis of economic indicators. Secondly, the quantity economic model was established to study the stable rela- tionship between the industry structure and economic growth with the help of the EViews software. Thirdly, the relative effectiveness of various factors was analyzed with DEA models and MATLAB soft- ware. Thirdly, based on the GM （1,1） model theory, the MATLAB software was used to analyze the GDP for 2004-2009 so as to predict the future situation of the GDP in the following five years, and then the industrial structure and economic conditions in Wuhan were analyzed. Finally, suggestions to optimize the industrial structure and promote economic growth were proposed.

关 键 词：产业结构 指标评价 数量经济模型 DEA模型 灰色GM(1 1)模型 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]