鹊山引黄水库水质现状评价及趋势预测  

Evaluation and Variational Trend of Water Quality of Queshan Reservoir

作　　者：汤杰[1,2] 贾瑞宝[2] 孙韶华[2] 于衍真[1] 

机构地区：[1]济南大学土木建筑学院,山东济南250022 [2]济南市供排水监测中心,山东济南250022

出　　处：《济南大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第3期307-310,共4页Journal of University of Jinan(Science and Technology)

基　　金：国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(2008ZX07422-002)

摘　　要：在综合分析鹊山引黄水库水质的基础上,考虑相关因素选取总氮、总磷、氨氮、溶解氧和高锰酸盐指数作为水库主要水质指标,采用灰色理论对鹊山水库水质进行现状评价和趋势预测。结果表明,目前鹊山水库的主要污染物是总氮,其含量常年处于Ⅳ类或Ⅴ类水平,其他水质指标符合国家地表水环境质量标准中Ⅱ类标准;通过建模预测,计算得出鹊山水库2011年度丰水期水体总氮依然处于较高水平,需采取措施予以控制。On the basis of water quality of Queshan reservoir, and taking total nitrogen, total phosphorus, ammonia nitrogen, dis- solved oxygen and potassium permanganate as the main indexes of water quality, we evaluated its status and forecast its variational trend using the gray theory. The results show that the main pollutants are the total nitrogen in Queshan reservoir at present,on a level with the ground water 1V or Vcriterion all the year,and other indexes correspond to the ground water lI criterion of our country. In addition, through modeling the indexes of water quality of Queshan reservoir from 2005 to 2010, we conclude that the total nitrogen of Queshan reservoir in wet reason in 2011 will be still at a high level, and should be controlled.

关 键 词：鹊山水库 灰色系统 水质评价 

分 类 号：X824[环境科学与工程—环境工程]