基于结构减排的碳排放总量控制优化模型研究  

Research on optimization model of total carbon emission control under structure control of carbon emission

作　　者：李鱼[1] 范英英[1] 李都峰[2] 杜显元[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学资源与环境研究院/区域能源系统优化教育部重点实验室,北京102206 [2]吉林大学环境与资源学院,吉林长春130023

出　　处：《广东农业科学》2012年第8期213-215,共3页Guangdong Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：湖南省第一批省级环保科技项目(2011-04)

摘　　要：全球性气候变暖已成为迫在眉睫的世界性环境问题,作为平衡碳排放与经济发展之间关系的最佳发展模式,低碳经济由此提出并受到广泛青睐,世界各国由传统经济向低碳经济转型已成为世界经济的发展趋势,我国也于哥本哈根大会上承诺在2020年实现单位GDP碳排放量较2005年降低40%~45%的碳减排目标。在低碳经济理论的基础上,充分结合我国低碳发展现状,选取我国在哥本哈根会议上承诺的2020年单位GDP温室气体减排目标、社会经济增速不变、行业经济增长量等作为约束条件,运用区间规划方法构建基于结构减排的不确定性低碳经济发展碳排放总量控制优化模型,以碳排放量最小为优化目标进行求解、分析,提出基于结构减排的低碳经济发展碳排放总量控制优化方案,为低碳经济发展提供决策支持。As global climate change has been the critical issue all around the world,low-carbon economy gets the extensive favor as the best model balancing greenhouse gas（GHG） reduction and economy development.Transformation from traditional economy to low-carbon economy is becoming the most important trends,and China has promised 40%~45% reduction on carbon emission per unit of GDP by 2020 on Copenhagen Conference.In this paper,on the basis of low-carbon economy method and development status in China,an uncertain optimization model under structure control of carbon emission had been established,taking minimum of carbon emission as optimization objective,the reduction target China has promised on Copenhagen Conference,social economic growth and economic growth in the industries as constraint condition,and used interval linear programming to gain the best optimization scheme for low-carbon economy development under structure control of carbon emission,and the optimization result could be used as the reference to decision-making on low-carbon economy development.

关 键 词：结构减排 低碳经济发展 碳排放总量 优化模型 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]