FDI对服务经济影响机制探讨——行业关联性还是中间投入性?  

A Discussion on the Mechanism of the Effect of FDI on China′s Service Industry: Industry Correlation or Intermediate Input?

作　　者：孟一坤[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海大学经济学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2012年第5期76-81,89,共6页World Economy Studies

摘　　要：本文考察服务业行业关联性和中间投入性两种基本特征,对1997～2009年我国服务业行业数据进行实证分析。一方面,以投入产出表数据量化行业关联度,根据强弱聚类;另一方面,以中间需求率为指标构建4个中间投入性递减的面板数据,进而对这两组数据进行平稳性检验、协整检验和SUR回归分析。结果表明:FDI额度和份额对服务经济的影响与其行业关联度强弱关系不大,相较于中间投入性,关联机制并不显著。并指出问题的症结在于跨国公司进行直接投资的目标和国家吸收利用外资的目标不一致。In recent years,the global FDI has benn flowing to the service industry.At the same time,China′s target of introducing FDI is in transition.How to influence the economy through service industry′s correlation mechanism has become a hot topic.However,the first question is whether such mechanism really exists.By theoretical analysis,two necessary conditions should be included in the mechanism.By quantifying the industry relativity on the basis of the input-output table of China(2007),14 kinds of services have been classified into three groups.Through stationarity test,cointegration test and SUR analysis on the three panel data,the conclusion is arrived that the effect of the volume and the share of FDI on the service industry have weak relation with the correlation coefficient.That is to say,the correlation mechanism of the effect of FDI on China′s service industry does not exist apparently.And the crux of the problem is the inconsistence of the aim of multinational companies′ investment and that of government′s introducing investment.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 服务业 行业关联性 中间投入性 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学] F719F224