基于C-D生产函数的电力消费与经济增长关系研究  

A Study on the Relationship between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Based on C-D Production Function

作　　者：曹丰[1] 黄淑芬[1] 许健榕[1] 

机构地区：[1]海南大学经济与管理学院,海南海口570228

出　　处：《海南大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2012年第2期122-128,共7页Journal of Hainan University （Humanities & Social Sciences）

基　　金：海南大学"211工程"三期建设研究生科技迎新平台(创新实验室)项目

摘　　要：针对几乎每年夏季出现在我国大部分地区的"电荒"困局,使用1999—2008年我国(除西藏外)30个省市的省际面板数据,研究我国各地区电力消费与经济增长之间的关系,以探究解决"电荒"之道。分析结果表明:长三角与珠三角地区以及工业结构较重的东三省经济增长对电力的依赖程度较高,未来电力供求矛盾在这些地区可能进一步突出;存在资源诅咒现象的山西省,以及广大西部地区,生产要素利用率低下,浪费严重。加速产业升级与转型,提高能源利用效率与增加电力供给,加强相关制度建设,才能逐步破解我国面临的能源困境。To solve the power shortage occurring almost every summer in most areas of China, this paper uses the provincial panel data of 30 provinces （except the Tibet） in China from1999 to 2008 in the research of the re- lationship between China＇ s local electric power consumption and economic growth. Analyzing result shows that： the economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region, the Pearl River Delta region and the 3 northeast densely industrialized provinces rely heavily on electricity supply; the power supply and demand contradiction in these regions may soar in future. Utilization rate of production factors is low and resources waste is serious in vast west- ern regions and resource-cursed Shanxi province. Only by accelerating industrial upgrading and transformation, improving energy efficiency, increasing the power supply, and strengthening the relevant system construction, can the predicament of energy shortage be gradually solved.

关 键 词：电力消费 经济增长 生产函数 面板数据 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]