区域产业结构调整与教育发展方式转变实证研究  

Empirical Research of Regional Industrial Structure Adjustment and Education Development Mode Change

作　　者：吴会咏[1] 吴茂全[1] 裴晓雯[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳化工大学数理系,辽宁沈阳110142

出　　处：《沈阳理工大学学报》2012年第2期27-34,共8页Journal of Shenyang Ligong University

基　　金：辽宁省高等教育学会"十二五"科研课题(GHYB110003)

摘　　要：基于辽宁省三次产业的产值数据,利用Johansen协整和误差修正,建立三次产业产值的VEC模型,进而得出辽宁省产业结构的调整方向和三次产业间的相互拉动关系。利用Granger因果关系检验,得出教育结构变量和产业结构调整变量之间的因果关系。基于VAR模型对辽宁省三次产业的产值占比与高校各学科招生增长率进行回归分析,得出三次产业的产值占比与学科招生增长率的多元线性关系。对三次产业的产值与学科招生人数进行回归分析,得出三次产业产值与学科招生人数的多元线性关系。为辽宁区域经济发展与教育发展方式转变提出政策建议。On the empirical analysis of the regional industrial structure adjustment and education development mode change,the paper first analyzes the output value of three industries of Liaoning province by using Johansen cointegration and error correction model,establishes the VEC model of output value of the three industries,and derives a conclusion that the Liaoning Province adjust the direction of industrial structure development and the mutual pull relationship of the three industries;And it concludes the causal relationship between the education structure variables and industrial structure variables adjustment by using Granger causality test.Then it has a regression analysis between the three times value accounts of Liaoning province for industry and the growth rate of the various disciplines recruit students based on VAR model.At last,it has a the regression analysis between the three industries of the output value and the discipline recruit students number.Above all the analysises,it will come up with the policy recommendations in changes between Liaoning regional economic development and education development mode.

关 键 词：VEC模型 GRANGER检验 JOHANSEN协整检验 ADF检验 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]