我国移动通信量差异的人口学分析  

Demographic Analysis on Mobile Communication Traffic Difference in China

作　　者：王思思[1] 张秋娈[2] 路紫[2] 段禅[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院,河北石家庄050024 [2]河北师范大学旅游系,河北石家庄050024

出　　处：《河北师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第3期319-324,共6页Journal of Hebei Normal University：Natural Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(40971073);河北省自然科学基金(D2010000419)

摘　　要：引入了地理迁移关系模型和社会网络人类动力学模型,将前一个模型中的"1个原型网络系统和2个变形网络系统"转换为演变过程的原始状态、迁移及适应3个阶段,将后一个模型中的"社会网络的典型特征——较高的集聚和较短的平均路径"分解为2个类型(非群体类型和群体类型),作为我国移动通信量人口学分析的研究方法.构建了我国各省的包括3个人口迁移指标、4个人口技术构成指标在内的人口学数据系统,针对3个重要的移动通信指标,分别解释人口学要素与移动通信量的内在联系.研究发现:1)应用地理迁移关系模型可以较好地描述不同演变阶段人口迁移对移动通信使用的影响,这种影响是通过保持原有链接、构建产生新链接而完成的;2)应用社会网络人类动力学模型可以较好地描述人口技术构成因素对移动通信使用的影响.Geographical migration relationship model and human dynamics model of social network are introduced,＂an original network system and two transforming network system＂ of the former model is shifted to an evolutional process of aboriginality,migration and adaption;＂the typical characteristic of social network-higher aggregation and shorter average path length＂ of the latter model is disintegrated to two types（group type and non group type）.These two modles are taken as research method of demographic analysis on mobile communication.The demographic data consists of three population migration indices and four population technical composition indices of provinces in China which against three important mobile communication indices are built to explain the internal relation between demographic factors and mobile communication traffic respectively.The research findings are：geographical migration relationship model has a better performance for describing the impact of population migration in different evolutional stages on mobile communication using,and this impact is completed by keeping the former links and generating new links.The impact of population technical composition factors on mobile communication using is preferably described by using human dynamics model of social network-one agent has numerous contacts with same kind agents,but little contact with different kinds of agents.This kind of contact depents on value,and valuable communication can consititute man-machine interaction communication.

关 键 词：地理迁移关系模型 社会网络人类动力学模型 人口迁移 人口技术构成 移动通信 

分 类 号：TP393.4[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术] G201[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]