产业内贸易对劳动力市场调整的影响分析——基于中国制造业面板数据的SAH检验  

Analysis of The Influences of Intra-Industry on the Labor Market Adjustment:A SAH Test Based on the Chinese Manufacturing Panel Data

作　　者：郭东杰[1] 邵琼燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学经贸学院,310023

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2012年第6期18-31,共14页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：2010年度国家软科学研究计划项目(编号:2010GXQ5D333);2011年度浙江省社科重点研究基地(劳动保障与社会政策研究中心)项目(编号:11JDLB02YB);2012年浙江省自然科学基金项目(Y12G0330156)的资助

摘　　要：随着中国经济全球化进程的深化,外贸对国内经济的影响日益显著。根据平滑调整假说(SAH),劳动力市场调整成本会随着产业内贸易水平的提高而降低。基于中国制造业22个细分行业面板数据进行检验,本文发现间隔3年的边际内产业指数最为有效,且产业内贸易水平对劳动力市场调整具有滞后效应,但回归分析结果并不支持SAH。随着产业内贸易比例扩大,劳动力的产业间调整增加,而并非产业内的调整。此外,劳动生产率和国内显性需求对劳动力市场调整有很大影响,在产业内贸易水平较高的行业内,劳动生产率的这种影响更加显著,而显性需求和产业内贸易水平影响作用较弱。With accelerating economic globalization in China, foreign trade is forming increasing impact on domestic economy. Based on the smooth adjustment hypothesis （SAH） , the labor market adjust cost would drop along with the development of the intra-industry trade. Based on the Chinese 22 manufacturing sub-sectors panel data, the test finds that the MIIT is the most valid at three year intervals. The IIT has a hysteresis effect on the labor market adjustment, but the regression analysis result does not support SAH. With the liT expansions the workforce moves more among inter-industry rather than intra-industry. Labor productivity and dominant consumption have remarkable effect on the labor mar- ket adjustment. The influence of labor productivity is more remarkable in the high MIIT industry than dominant consumption and liT.

关 键 词：平滑调整假说 产业内贸易 劳动力市场调整 制造业细分行业 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]