经济复杂度、地区专业化与经济增长——基于中国省级面板数据的经验分析  

Economic Complexity,Regional Specialization and Economic Growth——Empirical Analyses Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：张其仔[1] 伍业君[2] 王磊[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所,北京100836 [2]中国社会科学院研究生院,北京102488

出　　处：《经济管理》2012年第6期1-9,共9页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"产业竞争优势转型战略与全球分工模式的演变"(09&ZD035);中国社会科学院重大项目"产业竞争优势转型及其风险研究"

摘　　要：迄今为止,已有的关于经济体复杂度的文献都聚焦于出口产品技术含量的测度及其决定因素的分析上,而对经济体复杂度与经济增长之间的关系,尤其是复杂度对经济增长的影响机理缺乏分析。本文在理论分析的基础上,运用联立方程模型对经济复杂度驱动地区经济增长的机理进行了实证分析。结果显示,地区专业化是经济复杂度推动地区经济增长的主要途径。除人力资本外,要素投入、外商直接投资、出口以及交通基础设施都直接或间接地对地区经济增长和地区专业化产生正面影响。The existing literatures on the complexity of the economy have so far focused on the measure and its determinants of export sophistication. However, there are many shortcomings when we calculate the sophistication using international trade data. For example, international trade structure is largely incomplete mapping for domestic productive structure, but it does not fully representative. Moreover, a large number of Chinese enterprises engaged in processing trade or they made use of much foreign investment when they participated in global value chain divi sion of labor system, which alsoled to the biased measure of sophistication metrics. What＇s more, they all ignore the relation between complexity of the economy and economic growth, especially the impact mechanism between them. However, it is very significant for us to understand the sources of regional economic growth and to learn the reasons caused the regional gap. With respect to impact mechanism between economic complexity and regional economic growth, we can trace back to the ideas of Adam Smith＇s division of labor. According to Smith theorem, economic division can bring about the specialization economy and thenpromote regional economic growth. The complexity of the production process determines the decision that entrepreneurs mustdivide the circuitous production process into many product elements, which increase the degree of the specialization of production process and the scale return. With the deepening of the division of labor, production eventually breaks through the scope of market and the limitation of sizes.In short, Smith＇s s specialization economy in nature is the results of thesynergy evolution of division of labor and specialization, which is closely related to the complexity of the production process. And the latter promotes regional economic growth through the channel with spatial specialization and division. In other words, regional specialization is the function of economic sophistication. Essential productive factors like product de

关 键 词：生产结构 经济复杂度 地区专业化 经济增长 联立方程模型 

分 类 号：C33[社会学]