电力系统的递推自适应超短期负荷预报  

RECURSIVE AND ADAPTIVE SUPER-SHORT TERM LOAD FORECAST METHOD

作　　者：陆海峰 单渊达[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学电气工程系,南京210096

出　　处：《电网技术》2000年第3期28-31,共4页Power System Technology

摘　　要：针对超短期负荷预报的特点 ,引入控制理论中的相关理论原理 ,将时间序列方法作了改进 ,并用简单有效的算法实现了实时超短期负荷预报 。The super\|short term load forecast plays an important role in on\|line dispatch and control of power system, but up to now, the application of super\|short term load forecast is seldom reported and few papers on this problem are published. Considering the characteristics of super\|short term load forecast this paper uses some results of control theory to improve the method of time series and realize the algorithm as simple as possible. Its validity is proved by applying it to the computation of a practical power system.

关 键 词：超短期负荷预报 自适应 时间序列 电力系统 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]