山东省旅游收入的灰色预测及关联分析  

Gray Forecasting and Association Analysis of Tourism Revenue of Shandong Province

作　　者：高晓玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]菏泽学院资源与环境系,山东菏泽274500

出　　处：《绿色科技》2012年第6期224-227,共4页Journal of Green Science and Technology

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划研究项目(编号:10CJGJ38)资助

摘　　要：运用灰色系统理论研究了山东省旅游收入2001～2010年的变化规律,建立了旅游收入预测的灰色模型,并对"十二五"规划期间旅游收入做出预测,同时利用灰色关联分析了山东省旅游收入的影响因素,为山东省旅游业的发展提供参考。Based on the gray system theory, the paper studies the variation of the tourism revenue of Shandong Province from 2001 to 2010, establishes the forecasting gray model of tourism revenue, and predicts the tourism revenue during ＂ 12th Five -Year Plan＂. Besides, the paper also studies the influencing factors of the tourism revenue of Shandong Province by using gray relational analysis, in order to provide a certain reference for the tourism development of Shandong Province.

关 键 词：灰色预测GM(1 1)模型 灰色关联度 旅游收入 

分 类 号：F570[经济管理—产业经济]