Full lifetime cost analysis of battery, plug-in hybrid and FCEVs in China in the near future  

作　　者：Zhihua CAI Xunmin OU Qian ZHANG Xiliang ZHANG 

机构地区：[1]Institute of Energy,Environment and Economy,Automotive Energy Research Centre,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China

出　　处：《Frontiers in Energy》2012年第2期107-111,共5页能源前沿（英文版）

基　　金：Acknowledgements The project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （Grant Nos. 71041028 and 71103109）, the National Social Science Foundation of China （No. 09＆ZD029）, MOE Project of Key Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences at Universities in China （No. 2009JJD790029） and the CAERC program （Tsinghua/GM/ SAIC-China）.

摘　　要：This paper analyzes the full lifetime cost of battery electric vehicles （BEVs）, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles （PHEVs）, and fuel cell electric vehicles （FCEVs） in China in the near future. The full lifetime cost comprises the initial and periodic cost of owning and operating the vehicle. Compared with the conventional gasoline vehi- cles, the full lifetime cost of the BEVs, PHEVs and FCEVs are approximately 1.5, 0.5 and 2.3 times more in the short term, respectively, due to the higher initial costs and higher non-energy-related costs though the fuel costs are lower. The results also suggest that with reasonably anticipatable technological progress in the long term, the lifetime cost of advanced electric vehicles （EVs） can be close to that of gasoline vehicles. It is found that two aspects of action are most important to make BEVs cost-effective： to support technology improvement to decrease the high cost of BEV and to formulate high energy cost of operating the conventional gasoline car. Moreover, it is important to decrease the non-energy operating costs including regis- tration fee, tax rate and etc., of BEVs at the same time.This paper analyzes the full lifetime cost of battery electric vehicles （BEVs）, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles （PHEVs）, and fuel cell electric vehicles （FCEVs） in China in the near future. The full lifetime cost comprises the initial and periodic cost of owning and operating the vehicle. Compared with the conventional gasoline vehi- cles, the full lifetime cost of the BEVs, PHEVs and FCEVs are approximately 1.5, 0.5 and 2.3 times more in the short term, respectively, due to the higher initial costs and higher non-energy-related costs though the fuel costs are lower. The results also suggest that with reasonably anticipatable technological progress in the long term, the lifetime cost of advanced electric vehicles （EVs） can be close to that of gasoline vehicles. It is found that two aspects of action are most important to make BEVs cost-effective： to support technology improvement to decrease the high cost of BEV and to formulate high energy cost of operating the conventional gasoline car. Moreover, it is important to decrease the non-energy operating costs including regis- tration fee, tax rate and etc., of BEVs at the same time.

关 键 词：electric vehicle （EV） life time cost China 

分 类 号：U469.72[机械工程—车辆工程] U662.3[交通运输工程—载运工具运用工程]