常德地区负荷特性及其影响因素分析  

Load Characteristics of Changde Region and Analysis on Its Influencing Factors

作　　者：廖峰[1] 徐聪颖 姚建刚[1] 蔡剑彪[1] 陈素玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学电气与信息工程学院,湖南省长沙市410082 [2]佛山市供电局,广东省佛山市528000

出　　处：《电网技术》2012年第7期117-125,共9页Power System Technology

摘　　要：根据常德地区历史负荷和气象数据等相关资料,统计了该地区负荷特性指标,研究分析了当前该地区的负荷特性和影响负荷变化的主要因素。然后,分别分析各主要影响因素对该地区负荷的影响。针对各主要影响因素来具体分析其对地区负荷的影响程度、影响负荷所占的比重和影响的时段,并量化分析各部分负荷与影响因素的关系。最后,根据分析结果对该地区负荷预测工作提出相应的建议。According to historical load and meteorological data of Changde region,Hunan province,China,the statistics indices of regional load characteristics are given;current load characteristics of this region and main factors influencing load variation are researched.Based on main influencing factors,the influencing extents of them on regional load,respective proportions of these factors in the influences and the time periods influenced by these factors are analyzed,and the quantization analysis on the relation between load and influencing factors is performed.According to analysis results,some suggestions on the load forecasting of this region are proposed.

关 键 词：负荷特性 影响因素 量化分析 短期负荷预测 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]