行为决策研究的新取向--基于经验的决策  

The New Orientation of Behavioral Decision Making:Experience-based Decision Making

作　　者：刘腾飞[1,2] 徐富明[1,2] 马红宇 马向阳[1,2] 吴修良[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]青少年网络心理与行为教育部重点实验室 [2]华中师范大学心理学院暨湖北省人的发展与心理健康重点实验室,武汉430079

出　　处：《心理科学进展》2012年第7期1068-1079,共12页Advances in Psychological Science

摘　　要：基于经验的决策是指,在统计概率情境中,个体通过重复选择与反馈获得选项的收益分布信息后进行的决策。基于经验的决策的研究范式主要包括探索-利用范式和探索→利用范式。其暗含的决策人假设是朴素直觉统计学家。其研究关注的主要内容是描述—经验的差异及其原因,以及基于经验的决策内部过程。未来的研究主要从描述—经验差异的原因、描述性决策范式下的结论的重新检验、基于经验的决策的解释模型及其应用研究等方面进行探讨。Experience-based decision making refers to the choice that the individual obtains payoff distribution by repetition and feedback in the context of statistical probability. The paradigm of experience-based decision making includes exploration to exploit paradigm and exploration and exploit paradigm. The implicated decision-maker hypothesis is na＇fve intuitive statistician. Following this approach, focuses on description-experience gap and its reasons, and also concerns experience-based inner decision processes. Finally, the issues worthy of further research were also outlined, such as description-experience gap and its causes, the model and the application of experience-based decision making.

关 键 词：经验 决策 基于经验的决策 基于描述的决策 描述—经验差异 

分 类 号：B849[哲学宗教—应用心理学] C91[哲学宗教—心理学]