基于ARMA模型的云南省城乡居民收入差距分析和预测  

Analysis and Forecast of the Urban-Rural Income Gap in Yunnan Province Based on ARMA Model

作　　者：范丽[1] 扈立家[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南林业大学经济管理学院,云南昆明650224

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2012年第19期10283-10285,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：以云南省为例,根据1978～2010年云南省城乡居民收入差距的数据,运用ARMA模型,用Eviews软件进行拟合,对云南省城乡居民收入差距情况进行分析,并给出了2011～2013年云南省城乡居民相对收入差距的预测值。结果显示,城乡居民收入差距会继续扩大。提出了缩小城乡居民收入差距的相关建议。According to the data of urban-rural income gap of Yunnan Province from 1978 to 2010,the income gap between urban and rural residents was analyzed with the ARMA and Eviews fitting,and the income gap during 2011-2013 was forecasted.The results showed that the urban-rural income gap will keep enlarging.Finally some solutions were proposed to narrow the gap.

关 键 词：云南省 ARMA模型 城乡收入差距 分析和预测 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学]