超越“稀缺—冲突”视角:中印崛起背景下跨境水资源问题  

Beyond ‘Scarcity-Conflict’ Perspective:Trans-boundary Water in the Context of Emerging India and Rising China

作　　者：杨晓萍[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院南亚研究中心博士后流动站 [2]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《国际论坛》2012年第4期37-43,80,共7页International Forum

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(11YJC810036)的阶段性成果

摘　　要："稀缺—冲突"视角是解释跨境水资源与国家间关系的经典范式之一,但通过对有关国家间解决跨界水资源冲突形式的研究,可以发现国家采取军事行动来解决跨境水资源问题的概率往往很低。相反,跨境河流为相邻国家提供了广泛合作的可能性。本文认为,鉴于中印共同崛起的非冲突性和非排他性,中印在跨界水资源问题上有着广阔的合作空间,关键取决于双方是否能够拥有足够强大的政治意愿。从长远看,中印在水资源等功能性问题上的务实合作将有助于弥补中印间长期存在的战略信任不足问题。' Scarcity-conflict ' perspective is one of the classic paradigms to explain the relations between trans-boundary water and inter-state relations.However,by examining current research on how states resolve trans-boundary water conflict,the writer find that actually the possibility for states to use military action to solve water disputes and conflicts is very low.On the contrary,trans-boundary water provides huge space for adjacent countries to conduct cooperation.This article argues that,due to the non-offsetting an non exclusive nature of the emergence of India and China,both countries would find a lot of common grounds for cooperation as long as both sides have strong political will.In the long term,the pragmatic bilateral cooperation on such functional issues as trans-boundary water could help to compensate the trust deficit between India and China.

关 键 词：稀缺-冲突 跨境水资源 中印崛起 战略信任 

分 类 号：D81[政治法律—国际关系]